Will the Russian Federation extend the ban on gasoline and diesel exports after July 31, 2026?

Resolution Details

This market is about whether the Russian government will extend restrictions on gasoline and/or diesel fuel exports for the period after July 31, 2026. Event context: The ban is related to fuel shortages, attacks on refineries, and attempts to stabilize the domestic market in Russia. End date: July 31, 2026, 23:59 MSK YES: The market resolves to YES if the Russian government officially extends or introduces a new ban/restriction on gasoline and/or diesel exports that is effective after July 31, 2026. NO: The market resolves to NO if the restrictions expire on July 31 and are not extended for a later period. Resolution source: The Russian government, the Ministry of Energy of the Russian Federation, official regulatory acts of the Russian Federation. Resolution details: Only official decisions published or confirmed by Russian government bodies will be counted. Partial restrictions or bans for specific categories of exporters will also be counted.

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