2026 FIFA World Cup: Germany vs Paraguay. Germany is favored with a probability over 50%
Germany and Paraguay will meet in the Round of 16 of the 2026 World Cup on Monday in Boston. According to Opta's forecasts and models, Germany leads with a probability of about 55%, with the most likely result being 1-0.
On Monday, June 29, 2026, the German national team will face Paraguay in the Round of 16 of the 2026 FIFA World Cup in Boston. According to Opta's data, Germany's chance of winning is estimated at 54.7%, while Paraguay's is only 23.1%. This is Germany's first playoff match since their final in 2014.
Analysis from SportsMole adds that the most likely outcome is a victory for Germany with a probability of about 65.5%, with the most probable score being 1-0 (14%), followed by 2-0 (13%) and 2-1 (9%). A draw is estimated at 21%, while an unexpected victory for Paraguay is around 13%.
These estimates allow participants in prediction markets to bet on the outcome, goal difference, and the team's advancement to the next round. Germany is the clear favorite, but the possibility of an upset remains.
