Will Ukraine resume a full grain corridor by September 30th?

Resolution Details

This market will resolve as Yes if Ukraine officially announces the resumption of a full grain corridor through the Black Sea for regular agricultural exports by September 30, 2026. Event context: Following attacks on civilian vessels and port infrastructure, Ukraine is attempting to restore safe grain exports through the Black Sea, which is crucial for the global food market and shipping insurance. End date: September 30, 2026, 23:59 UTC. YES: Ukraine, Turkey, the UN, or another official participant will confirm the launch of a regular maritime grain corridor from Ukrainian ports through the Black Sea. NO: There will only be negotiations, test flights, one-time shipments, or partial humanitarian routes without a confirmed regular corridor. Resolution source: Ministry of Communities and Territories Development of Ukraine, Ministry of Foreign Affairs of Ukraine, UN, Turkey, Reuters, AP. Resolution details: A full grain corridor is understood as an officially confirmed mechanism for regular commercial export of grain/agricultural products by sea from Ukrainian ports. One-time flights or informal routes do not count.

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