Will the National Bank of Kazakhstan lower the base rate to 16% or below at the meeting on July 24?

Resolution Details

This market is about whether the National Bank of Kazakhstan will lower the base rate to 16.00% or below at the meeting on July 24, 2026. This is an important macro market for the tenge, deposits, loans, and KASE. End date: July 24, 2026, after the publication of the NKB's decision. YES: If the NKB announces a base rate of 16.00% or lower following the meeting on July 24, 2026. NO: If the rate remains above 16.00%, or if the NKB does not lower the rate at this meeting. Resolution source: National Bank of Kazakhstan, official monetary policy decision / press release. Resolution details: The market resolves based on the official rate stated in the NKB's decision. If the meeting is postponed, the market should resolve based on the first official decision that the NKB designates as the decision instead of the meeting on July 24, 2026. If no such decision is made by July 31, 2026, the market resolves NO.

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