Will the annual inflation in Russia (Rosstat) drop below 5.5% by the end of May 2026?

Resolution Details

The Bank of Russia forecasts a decrease in annual inflation to 4.5–5.5% in 2026. As of April, the year-on-year inflation was at 6.3%. Experts from SberCIB expect a return to the target of 4% by mid-year, but price volatility in services and seasonal factors in May may slow this process. Resolution conditions: "YES": if the official annual inflation rate for May 2026, published by Rosstat in June, is strictly below 5.5%. "NO": if the inflation rate is 5.5% or higher.

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